Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.272132 2.628917 3.020798 3.482815 4.012289 4.599775 5.300756
2025-02-16 1.703942 2.153345 2.689254 3.374137 4.224888 5.245646 6.562124
2025-02-23 1.290787 1.764110 2.371093 3.203812 4.313638 5.738767 7.704443
2025-03-02 0.987430 1.448927 2.080947 3.005139 4.316937 6.106259 8.725489
2025-03-09 0.819593 1.282316 1.954597 2.995459 4.558094 6.806722 10.275684
2025-03-16 0.670494 1.113500 1.793369 2.902977 4.656905 7.307383 11.596607
2025-03-23 0.607464 1.064324 1.800692 3.060402 5.144853 8.434161 13.986509
2025-03-30 0.544052 1.002402 1.775899 3.158544 5.545916 9.467428 16.349979
2025-04-06 0.476113 0.920384 1.703642 3.163341 5.787300 10.263487 18.412593
2025-04-13 0.395438 0.801334 1.548245 2.998029 5.708255 10.504204 19.550227
2025-04-20 0.362395 0.766254 1.538585 3.093421 6.103550 11.606989 22.319381
2025-04-27 0.342665 0.753901 1.569092 3.266882 6.662211 13.060252 25.881058
2025-05-04 0.310629 0.712645 1.540230 3.326320 7.021591 14.207672 29.049634
2025-05-11 0.279694 0.668628 1.499475 3.356133 7.326661 15.288120 32.220912
2025-05-18 0.242659 0.604630 1.407171 3.264238 7.369137 15.854996 34.437063
2025-05-25 0.206177 0.535309 1.292426 3.105839 7.246993 16.068360 35.945437
2025-06-01 0.186777 0.503679 1.257774 3.121963 7.507819 17.109471 39.315326
2025-06-08 0.163812 0.459009 1.185862 3.040794 7.537341 17.654574 41.669438
2025-06-15 0.157974 0.457817 1.218558 3.214777 8.181786 19.627237 47.416169
2025-06-22 0.148979 0.446563 1.224519 3.323397 8.683276 21.329962 52.731608
2025-06-29 0.136041 0.422042 1.192836 3.331829 8.939717 22.491961 56.911756
2025-07-06 0.116869 0.376048 1.097457 3.159967 8.719468 22.497421 58.332023
2025-07-13 0.110769 0.367834 1.103526 3.261459 9.218259 24.302497 64.339456